Leopard Strategy - Siyu's Hybrid Stock Pick

Wednesday, July 19, 2006

TGT, ANF and NTE

what's in common for the above 3 stocks?

They all droppped around 5% today, for no obvious reasons. Well it sure has reason, check out this article. To me, this is a buying opportunity, big time.

ANF and TGT are both top players in their sectors, with proven track record, and steady growth rate. Better yet, both are undervalued, in my opinion, at least 20%. Plus, I expect them to release strong numbers for the 3rd quarter, in other words, both stocks will have a positive outlook in 3 months.

NTE always has a very strong support at $20, (today's closing price). Unless there is negative information that I am unaware of, this stock will reward you 10% return in quite short period of time.

Tuesday, July 04, 2006

Stock Review - June 2006

Here is the performance review of all the stocks that were recommended in this blog in March 2006.


Pick date Price at pick Price (Jul3) % change
MVK 4-Mar 49.51 63.46 28.18%
ISSC 5-Mar 14.09 14.39 2.13%
NTE 11-Mar 21.35 22.56 7.17%
SIMG 24-Mar 10.42 10.85 4.13%
PSUN 25-Mar 22.15 17.82 -19.55%




4.41%

For the same time period, performance of major indexs are:



1-Mar Current % change
DJI .DJI 11021 11,345.00 2.94%
Nasdaq100 QQQQ 41.1 39.00 -5.11%
S&P500 SPY 128.23 127.80 -0.34%
Russell2000 IWM 73.9 72.63 -1.72%


We beat all the major indexes, by an average of 5% in 3 months, a pretty good job.

MVK's price finally reflects its real value, as it agreed to a $3.18 Billion buyout by Tanaris, values its stock at $65 per share. If you read my blog on Mar3, I value MVK at $66, though a rough estimation, it is very close to the buyout deal price. MVK will be dropped out of the portfolio, as we don't expect too much price volatility now.

PSUN is disappointing. Though it continues to be undervalued, its sluggish quarter performance is a reflection of its weaker brand, less sucessful store retail business, and concern for the future growth. I will keep an cautious key on it.

I will remove ISSC and SIMG from my portfolio too. Why? For now, I hold a conservative view on the stock market as a whole, and choose to play some defensive hands. I am looking for some replacement candidates from the following sectors: Energy, Metal, and Some emerging markets.

I will discuss them next time, and let me know if you have good recommendations..

Time to get back to World cup 2006, and let's enjoy the last 4 matches.