Leopard Strategy - Siyu's Hybrid Stock Pick

Friday, April 21, 2006

ANF - Abercrombie & Fitch

Abercromibie & Fitch, a speciality retailer that sells causal apparel, has a total of 4 brands, and each target a defined customer base varied by age (14 to 35), and location (west to east coast).

It successfully rolled out 2 new brands (Hollister in 2000, Ruchl in 2004), and maintains an average 20% revenue growth in the last 6 years. In conjuction with the high growth, it maintains an operating margin at around 19%. It has over 450million cash, with neglectable debt. Furthermore, in 2005, the company spent $103 million to repurchase the stock, and spent $52 million to pay the dividend.

A&F has one of hottest casual apprael brands in US. Its 4 brands - A&F, abercrombie, Hollister and Ruchl, each successfully targets a different age and culture(between east and west coast) group. Its ROE, operating margin, 5-year growth rate are all very competitive (ranked above average) within Apparel sector, however, as closed at 58.43 on 4/21, its P/E is at 16, lower than average with the sector. (comparsion made among AEOS, GPS, LTD, CHS).

The stock is currently priced as if there is no future earning growth. I don't see the rationale behind, especially to such a stock that had proven growth history, and still maintains a strong collection of brand portfolios. I will include this stock in my portfolio, and set 6-month target price at $70, 20% premium to current price.

You may also find this article that discussed same stock helpful.

3 Comments:

  • Thank you for visiting my blog and a nice message too. I enjoy your analysis as well. Keep in touch!

    By Blogger Jaewoo, at April 28, 2006 8:44 AM  

  • You just found another follower of your stock-picking advice!

    Not everyone was born a natural investor, and I am glad I discovered this interesting source of market information - I have some friends that will definitely be interested in following your posts here too.

    By Blogger AA, at April 28, 2006 8:47 PM  

  • Adriana: Thanks for the visit the encouraging words.

    By Blogger Siyu LI, at April 29, 2006 10:14 PM  

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